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Topic ClosedIf the UCI were open minded...

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antony View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 January 2007 at 2:15pm
Originally posted by GeoffBird GeoffBird wrote:

I think Trek has already done a recumbent (SWB, mid-drive) and Giant a semi-recumbent. Guess they were slightly put off by the fact they hardly sold any...


Another function, I suspect, of 'bents not being UCI-legal and therefore not really known to exist outside the confined spaces of a relatively miniscule population of people.


If 'bents were UCI-legal and used to win real prize money, by pro racing teams with million-dollar sponsorship deals, appeared on most pages of most bike mags, etc, I suspect sales would pick up a tad.

I imagine when Trek and Giant hardly sold any (in their terms) they canned the projects at pretty much their first production designs. Had 10% of their total sales been 'bents, I suggest they'd have progressed their designs because it would have been worth investing more R&D cash.

At which point, as Hadden suggests, they may have spent more time asking existing experts for input and less time asking their existing DF-designers to come up with a weirdy-feet-firsty-thing-bike, as I believe neither project was codenamed.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 January 2007 at 8:47pm
Originally posted by fokket fokket wrote:

sorry to bring up old post, but I wondered too what would happen if Trek and Giant shelling their R&D $$$ on recumbents, I guess Mike (Burrows) tried to convince Giant to manufacture, but who knows.

Here is a link to prove that Trek has been there, and bought the T-shirt!

Trek R200

Even Cannondale had a go, with the Easy Rider, here: Easy Rider (picture)

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 02 January 2007 at 11:04pm
Originally posted by antony antony wrote:

If 'bents were UCI-legal and used to win real prize money, by pro racing teams with million-dollar sponsorship deals, appeared on most pages of most bike mags, etc, I suspect sales would pick up a tad.
 
And all the existing small - volume recumbent manufacturers would struggle to stay in business.
 
Knowing what it would cost me and Chris and Al to produce the Apollo/H commercially, there is no way that we could compete against Giant if they decided to make pedal cars.
Not that they would because the market is so small and the places you can use them so relatively limited.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 8:27am
The Cannondale looks more like a Raleigh Chopper than a Raleigh Chopper does.
Ian,

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antony View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 11:10am
Originally posted by jes@gcre jes@gcre wrote:

Originally posted by antony antony wrote:

If 'bents were UCI-legal and used to win real prize money, by pro racing teams with million-dollar sponsorship deals, appeared on most pages of most bike mags, etc, I suspect sales would pick up a tad.


And all the existing small - volume recumbent manufacturers would struggle to stay in business.


Quite possibly, although there are several small-volume DF bike builders and frame makers about the place, and that's on a bike shape (i.e. the diamond frame) that's arguably more limited in terms of how different you can make it (and certainly in terms of fairings, weather protection, etc) and in a market saturated with cheap mass-produced bikes in a range of shapes and sizes.

There will always be people who want something a bit different from the mass market bikes, either because they want it built in the UK, like the look of it, like the company ethos, or just because they really, really like the look of that £4,000 carbon thing with the bling wheels.

The question would be, is it be more or less of a struggle to win 1% of the current 'bent market than it would be to win 0.01% of a market 100 times the size (say)?

Or would a bigger market draw more customers to the hand-built, small-volume end of the scale, once they'd decided they liked the lying down cycling thing and wanted something the same shape but better?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 11:21am
IIRC the Trek was designed by one Brad Wagner, who used to post a fair bit to the HPV mailing list a few years ago, so ought to have known better.
 
IIRC also the Cannondale was designed by one Chris Dodman, who is a former BHPC member, so etc. etc.  Though to be fair I suspect the Dead Hand of The Mgt who saw that there were lots of BikeEs areound.
 
They had a couple of Cannondales in my ex-LBS a few years ago (On Your Bike, London Bridge).  I was curious:
 
Me: How many have you sold?
Joke Bike Shop Man: None!
Me: Did you count them?
BSM: Twice!
 
The main prombles with the Cannondale were, IMNSHO:
 
  1. Cannondale's rep for making sporty kit, and
  2. The existence of the HP Velotechnik Spirit, which did much the same job for a lot less money.


Edited by legs_larry - 03 January 2007 at 11:22am
====================

a bit ov a lyv wyr by slof standirds
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NickM View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 1:14pm
While there is the £2000 Fujin SLII, I cannot see much of a market for any £4000 unfaired recumbent.
 
I see the Fujin as the recumbent equivalent of the original (aluminium, Burrows) Giant TCR - a state of the art design, well made in Taiwan and sold at a price which makes all more expensive bikes pointless. Unless you are addicted to exclusivity for its own sake, I suppose - although I would perceive such an addiction as a personality weakness! 
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antony View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 2:00pm
Originally posted by NickM NickM wrote:

While there is the £2000 Fujin SLII, I cannot see much of a market for any £4000 unfaired recumbent.


"Windcheetah HyperSport. Mike Burrow's sensational new version of his classic Windcheetah design, the worlds most advanced recumbent tricycle.

£3385.00 +VAT"

"Aeropack comprising a set of front and rear Airflow fairings, carbon fenders, computer, carbon bottle cage holder and mirror. The Aeropack represents a saving of £90.00 when compared to the individually priced components.

£1200.00 +VAT"

So that's nearly £4,000 for an unfaired trike and over £1,400 for a partial nose and a relatively small tail fairing, plus some other accessories to make the machine more day-to-day practical. Even if it still has no load carrying ability in that spec.

Don't get me wrong, I don't begrudge AVD a single penny of the above because it reflects their costs for that machine and the need to eat food.

And I quite agree there's not much of a market for a bike of this price, but that's sort of the point.

The "that £4,000 carbon thing with the bling wheels" was just a random suggestion as to why someone might make a buying decision really - the point is, you can (and some people do) spend that much and more on a DF bike - even though it's possible to spend a quarter as much on an equally capable machine.

Not every bike is sold purely because it costs less or is built in greater numbers than a similar one with a similar spec. A bike doesn't have to be a £4,000 piece of carbon bling to be saleable by a low-volume builder.

Example: On-One (.co.uk) - small volume producer, namely two blokes in a West Yorkshire shed designing decent bikes that are then produced in Taiwan, in small volumes (compared to a major producer). They survive and flourish by being good, not by making 10,000 units a month. In fact part of their appeal to many buyers is almost certainly the fact they are small and the bikes therefore relatively rare.


Back to the topic of "if 'bents were UCI-legal" - if they were, the 'bent market would almost certainly reflect the current road (DF) bike market, with a mix of mass- and low-volume producers. The existence of the former does not necessarily mean the death of the latter.
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Catrike UK View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 2:07pm
Originally posted by antony antony wrote:


"Windcheetah HyperSport. Mike Burrow's sensational new version of his classic Windcheetah design, the worlds most advanced recumbent tricycle.

£3385.00 +VAT"


Catrike 700 £1995.00 inc. taxes, 700c rear wheel, lightweight heat treated aluminium frame, ackerman steering etc....

Takes it back to Nick's argument.

Still not UCI sanctioned of course.Tongue
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antony View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 03 January 2007 at 2:52pm
Again, that's my point!

Clearly there's no need to spend £4,000 on a bike or trike; the point is people do, even if only occasionally. Even though you can buy something that will do pretty much the same thing for a lot less money.
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